If a deal holds up, it will be a tremendous victory for international law, despite Obama’s bungling.
President Obama has bungled Syria. He said he’d enforce the
accidental red line he drew on chemical weapons, then tacked to asking
Congress for approval for military strikes, then swerved again to nudge
the Russians to broker an unlikely deal with Assad. The zigzagging made his big speech Tuesday night confusing and unconvincing.
And yet, all of this looks pretty good at the moment if you’re
tracking not Obama’s credibility or political skillsbut the rule of law.
Of course it could all fall apart, but right now international and
constitutional law are looking stronger than they did before the
president got himself into his red-line mess.
There are two competing norms of international law at stake in the
world’s response to the Syrian gassing: The ban on chemical weapons and
the post-World War II system for maintaining relative peace around the
globe—the 1945 U.N. Charter. The two norms are directly clashing at the
moment. Syria never signed onto the Chemical Weapons Convention,
in force since 1993. And the U.N. Charter requires the Security Council
to approve the use of force Obama has planned—approval that Russia and
China, which have veto power, won’t give. And so the big clash on the
left is over which to value more: preventing the use of chemical weapons
or maintaining the U.N. system that limits the legal use of force more
broadly.
The pro-intervention argument, made forcefully by Obama’s U.N.
ambassador, Samantha Power, values enforcing the chemical weapons ban
over respecting the procedures by which the U.N. operates. If the
Russians are holding the Security Council “hostage,” as Power says, then the U.S. gets to opt out. The contrary, not-so-fast argument, captured by Yale law professors Oona Hathaway and Scott Shapiro,
is that all of our breaches of U.N. rules “add up — and each one makes
it harder to hold others to the rules. If we follow Kosovo and Iraq with
Syria, it will be difficult, if not impossible, to stop others from a
similar use of force down the line.” Hathaway and Shapiro are reminding
the country that opting out of the U.N. rules isn’t free, no matter how
worthy the humanitarian rationale. They want Obama to think about
whether punishing Assad’s use of chemical weapons “is worth endangering
the fragile international order that is World War II’s most significant
legacy.”
The president seemed inclined to brush by this question. But the
country, plus our reluctant allies—thank you, Britain—wouldn’t let him.
The continuing lack of support at home and abroad for striking Syria
forced Obama to say he would go to Congress. And that’s a victory for
another kind of rule of law: The Constitution’s war-making powers.
Presidents have taken more and more of this authority, either because
they’ve usurped it or because Congress has handed it over. Obama did his
own grabbing when he intervened in Libya without going to Congress
first. The War Powers Act—the congressional answer to Vietnam—should
have stopped him. It didn’t.
But Obama declined to take presidential power that one more step.
Without NATO, or decent poll numbers to back him up, Obama decided he
had to have Congress behind him. This isn’t the most high-minded way to
get there, but I’ll take it. Score one for limiting executive power as
the Constitution calls for.
Skeptics, among them Slate columnist Eric Posner,
point out that Obama keeps saying he retains the power to strike Syria
even if Congress votes against him. And so he’s aggrandizing rather than
humbling his office. Another problem is that the legal rationale the
administration is floating—that the president can bomb another nation,
on his own, based on his own decision that an "important national
interest" is at risk—is crazy broad. It sounds like anything goes, who
needs Congress, unless American troops are going in on the ground.
But as long as Obama doesn’t actually strike Syria if Congress won’t
authorize it—and isn’t that becoming unimaginable?—these excesses are
like the bad night of drinking that doesn’t end in actual injury.
I do see an obvious pitfall here: Future presidents could run away
from Congress based on the Obama experience. Don't take anything to
Congress because it's a huge mess! But hang on. What if this all ends
better than it began—what if the Russians get more from Assad than bombs
would have? Yes I know that securing Syria’s chemical weapons will be
enormously difficult, practically speaking. But think about it: Syria
just admitted for the first time that it has chemical weapons and announced that it wants to sign on to the treaty that bans them.
Russia is pressuring Assad to do something good rather than standing by
and letting him do evil. If any kind of deal can be cobbled together,
it will be a net gain. Obama will be right that it would never have
happened without the credible threat of the use of force. And at the
same time, as long as the threat doesn’t materialize, it won’t erode the
international system of law or the Constitution’s division of powers
either. Given how very badly this could have gone for both—and could
still go—that sounds like victory to me.
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